Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032479 0.035604 0.038775 0.042228 0.045874 0.049604 0.053702
2025-08-31 0.028419 0.033083 0.037993 0.043520 0.049545 0.055890 0.063052
2025-09-07 0.025134 0.030900 0.037171 0.044439 0.052572 0.061338 0.071447
2025-09-14 0.022338 0.028899 0.036252 0.044996 0.055006 0.066010 0.078925
2025-09-21 0.019873 0.026997 0.035208 0.045204 0.056882 0.069943 0.085504
2025-09-28 0.018420 0.026118 0.035209 0.046498 0.059909 0.075118 0.093457
2025-10-05 0.016213 0.024114 0.033698 0.045854 0.060551 0.077458 0.098098
2025-10-12 0.014643 0.022765 0.032861 0.045911 0.061931 0.080591 0.103607
2025-10-19 0.013526 0.021900 0.032542 0.046528 0.063929 0.084412 0.109899
2025-10-26 0.012656 0.021287 0.032480 0.047415 0.066218 0.088560 0.116575
2025-11-02 0.010849 0.019245 0.030445 0.045699 0.065207 0.088671 0.118387
2025-11-09 0.009731 0.018082 0.029493 0.045300 0.065779 0.090657 0.122414
2025-11-16 0.008653 0.016914 0.028497 0.044833 0.066282 0.092602 0.126472
2025-11-23 0.008250 0.016730 0.028841 0.046136 0.069055 0.097373 0.134013
2025-11-30 0.007765 0.016378 0.028921 0.047070 0.071349 0.101558 0.140862
2025-12-07 0.007213 0.015874 0.028751 0.047638 0.073154 0.105132 0.146971
2025-12-14 0.006610 0.015233 0.028343 0.047849 0.074470 0.108080 0.152308
2025-12-21 0.006356 0.015156 0.028752 0.049190 0.077284 0.112937 0.160042
2025-12-28 0.005619 0.014180 0.027763 0.048521 0.077383 0.114314 0.163413
2026-01-04 0.005120 0.013578 0.027306 0.048579 0.078439 0.116904 0.168304
2026-01-11 0.004793 0.013259 0.027265 0.049219 0.080274 0.120496 0.174467
2026-01-18 0.004549 0.013075 0.027422 0.050138 0.082491 0.124590 0.181280
2026-01-25 0.003791 0.011809 0.025781 0.048358 0.080944 0.123742 0.181774